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Supporting Documents

 
SEE BELOW
for Kevin Long's 
original documents
(2006-present).

 
(The current forecasts are at the top ... followed by other documents with the newest at the top of the list.)



       


Also, see Kevin's  research and discussions
shown on the   FEATURE PAGES    below :




CLIMATE CHANGE, SUNSPOTS &
 LUNAR & COSMIC CYCLES

 
Climate change is driven by sunspot activity.
Are we  heading for
a Little Ice Age?
 
The official records show a cooling trend since 1998.
 

   
SEE KEVIN'S
  
FORECAST FOR 2010-2028
   

THE CHINESE
EFFECT


Kevin Long's theory that
 the Asian pollution cloud
is the main regional
climate influence on
south-eastern Australia





DOCUMENT TITLE   DATE DESCRIPTION FILE SIZE
         
 
       
CURRENT FORECASTS
       
WINTER 2017 1 p. 1 June
2017
Quarterly seasonal long-range forecast for Central Victoria. Includes rainfall, reservoir inflows, irrigation allocation, sea-surface temperature analysis, Chinese Effect and other global climate drivers. 355 KB
          
Weather Forecast for the
New Climate Cycle  2010 to 2028: THE END OF THE
HOT WET CLIMATE 
1 p.  12 July 2010 Weather predictions for 2010 to 2028, taking into consideration the major influences of lunar and sunspot cycles. A cold, dry climate cycle is most likely under way from 2010. 78 KB

Previous forecasts 
at bottom
 
       
          
OTHER DOCUMENTS        
                
Rapid Global Cooling Forecast for 2017 2p. 30 Jan 2014 Global temperatures will rise briefly until 2017 when a rapid cooling will set in, due to the combined influences of the 18.6 year lunar cycle and the Bicentennial Solar Minimum sunspot cycle. 334 KB
       
 Mega-Drought Developing  2 p.  5 April 2013 Australia is sliding into a mega-drought period that may span decades. This is part of a cycle of sun-spot activity and global climate similar to the dry period that was just ending when Captain Cook arrived in Australia. Evidence of tree stumps in northern Victorian swamps shows we have had mega-droughts in recent history.  464 KB
         
The Lunar Air Tide Cycle Explained 1 p. 29 Oct 2012 In each lunar cycle of 355 days, there are distinct "air tide phases" which can greatly affect the rainfall levels across Australia's Murray Darling Basin. Kevin explains these air tide phases and the scheduled peaks for the coming years. 304 KB
         
The Basin Plan ignores the reducing Murray flood levels 6 p. 12 Apr 2012 Kevin Long's submission to the 2012 Draft Murray Darling Basin Plan highlights the massive decline in peak flood levels of the Murray river since 1958. This trend has been ignored in the Plan. Kevin outlines the impact on irrigation systems we can expect in coming years.  630 KB
       
NASA's latest prediction supports Global Cooling   6p.   29 Feb 2012 Analysis of NASA's new predictions that point to a likely global cooling period and possible Mini Ice Age.  2MB
         
The Triple Crown of Global Cooling 2p. 30 Aug
2011
Summary of cooling trends expected to shape the next 30 years - including PDO ocean current, low sunspot activity and increased volcanic activity. 466 KB
         

The IPCC climate predictions have failed
for three basic reasons

5 p. 20 June 2011
(Updated version of document)
 
A summary of major flaws in the United Nations IPCC's modelling and understanding of climate change drivers; including sunspot activity, solar radiation and atmospheric feedbacks.
924 KB
         
Cosmic Cycles cause flood and drought in eastern Australia  4 p.  23 Feb 2011 Unprecedented floods in 2010-11 can be explained by the fact that two major cosmic cycles have come into synch - the 18.6 Year Lunar Cycle and the 19.85 Year Jupiter-Saturn Cycle.  797 KB
         
October rainfall decline spells disaster for water supplies
1 p. 3 Nov 2009 The long-term decline of critical October rains is having drastic impacts on agriculture and reservoir inflows. 62 KB
 
Reducing Australia's carbon pollution will accelerate global climate change 2 p. 26 Sep 2009
Discussion paper highlighting that Northern Hemisphere pollution is the main driver of climate change; the importance of addressing pollution balance between the hemispheres; and that reducing Australia's carbon pollution will actually accelerate global climate change.
 
68 KB
 
DISCUSSION PAPER:

The Channel Lining and Pipeline Deception in Victoria's Northern Foodbowl Project  

 
(Version 1.0)
14 p 7 Aug 2009 Discussion paper detailing that the Victorian Government's "Foodbowl Modernisation Project" and "North-South Pipeline" are effectively insolvent.
 Major issues are highlighted in the $270m Channel Lining component regarding claims of alleged water yield, enormous capital costs and environmental safety concerns. A Royal Commission into the projects is recommended and outlined. Includes detailed Appendix of data tables and volume calculations. Co-authored by Kevin Long and Chris Poynton.
706 KB
         
The Chinese Effect  - Part 2:
Its impacts on the Indian Ocean Dipole
2 p 13 April 2009 Includes updated theory, supporting scientific studies on the weakening rain effects of the IOD the recent UN identification of effects of "Atmospheric Brown Clouds" and the possible slowing of the "Great Oean Conveyor Belt" current.

See special section on:
The Chinese Effect
162 KB
 
Bendigo's Decadal Rainfall Averages 1 p. 7 Dec 2008 Overview of historical "Wet" and "Dry" sequences, showing a clear drying trend in the last 36 years 86 KB
 
Submission to Victorian Government re"Draft Northern Region Sustainable Water Strategy" 2 p. 30 Nov 2008 Comments include: government's failure to identify worst-case water scenarios; recommendations for changes to Bulk Water Entitlement (conservation policy,  carryover and scheduled reviews) 78 KB
 
Libs-Nats must push for new "Bulk Water" allocation system for Murray-Darling Basin if irrigated agriculture is to have a future 1 p. 23 Sep 2008 Letter to Vic Liberal leader advising that the Bulk Water Entitlement should have been  reviewed three years ago. 74 KB
 
The Water Allocation Rules have broken down !! 1 p. 15 Sep 2008 Summary of recent failure of individual Victorian irrigation systems. 75 KB
  
Why has Lake Eppalock not filled? 1 p. 28 Aug 2008 Summary of declining historical averages, declining rainfall and declining run-off figures for Lake Eppalock. 91 KB
 
The CSIRO Report released on 13 May regarding  "Water Availability in the Campaspe" is MISLEADING 2 p. 25 May 2008 Inaccuracies in CSIRO's report to government . Water resources are much smaller than reported. 87 KB
 
The Chinese Effect 1 p. 20 Dec 2006 Eastern Australia is losing rainfall due to the pollution cloud north of New Guinea.

See special section on:
The Chinese Effect
95 KB
 
Bendigo Stormwater Resource 1 p. 12 Sep 2006 Outline of project to capture stormwater. Includes new reservoir and compensation to rural irrigators. 202 KB
 
Changing Climate Cycles in Central Victoria and Failing Irrigation Systems 2 p. 1 Jan 2008 Proposed benchmarks for reform of Victoria's rural water allocation system 150 KB
 
A Failed Lake Eppalock:
A Dire Indicator for the Murray-Darling Basin



17 p. 1 Dec 2006 Formal research paper. Co-Authors Dr John Russell and Kevin Long.
Foretells the end of irrigation as we know it in the Murray Darling Basin. Detailed history of changes to the Eppalock catchment and long-term climate cycles.
2.2 MB
PREVIOUS QUARTERLY FORECASTS
AUTUMN 2017
SUMMER 2016/17
 
SPRING 2016
WINTER 2016
AUTUMN 2016
SUMMER 2015/16

SPRING 2015
WINTER 2015
AUTUMN 2015

MID-SUMMER UPDATE 2014-15

SUMMERr 2014-15
 
 
SPRING 2014
WINTER 2014
AUTUMN 2014
SUMMER 2013/14
SPRING 2013
WINTER 2013
AUTUMN 2013
SUMMER 2012/13
SPRING 2012
WINTER 2012
AUTUMN 2012
SUMMER 2011/12
SPRING 2011
WINTER 2011
AUTUMN 2011
SUMMER 2010/11

SPRING 2010

WINTER 2010
AUTUMN 2010
SUMMER 2009/10
SPRING 2009
WINTER 2009
AUTUMN 2009
SUMMER 2008/09
SPRING 2008
WINTER 2008
AUTUMN 2008
SUMMER 07/08
SPRING 2007
WINTER 2007
AUTUMN 2007
SUMMER 06/07

1 p.
various
Quarterly seasonal long-range forecast for Central Victoria. Includes rainfall, reservoir inflows, irrigation allocation, sea-surface temperature analysis, Chinese Effect and other global climate drivers. max
84 KB


 
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