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The Chinese Effect

 
In 2006, Kevin Long was the first
to name and identify the impacts of
"The Chinese Effect" on Australia's weather.
 
Kevin believes this to be the major tipping force behind climate change for south-eastern Australia.
 
See documents & links below.
 


SEE LARGE IMAGE BELOW
  
"The Chinese Effect" is the annual warming of the seas north of New Guinea due to Asian aerosol pollution.
 
The hotspot draws moisture in from south of the equator, thus reducing the moisture available to the Australian rainfall systems. The hotspot has been very apparent since 2004.
 
This significant and increasing effect on Australian weather has not been recognised by governments and water management authorities.
 
We are not dealing with a conventional "drought" that is going to "break". We are witnessing  distinct "climate change" due to a new pattern of equatorial moisture flows.
 
Kevin has published two documents specifically on
"The Chinese Effect" :

 
2009   The Chinese Effect Part 2:
Its impacts on the Indian Ocean Dipole


Includes: updated hypothesis, supporting scientific study on the weakening rain effects of the IOD, the recent UN identification of effects of "Atmospheric Brown Clouds", the possible slowing of the "Great Oean Conveyor Belt", demnstrated effects on Central Victoria's rainfall and moisture patterns.
 
2 pages
2006 The Chinese Effect

Original summary document outlining hypothesis of the pollution cloud drawing moisture away from the La Nina rainfall system affecting south-eatern Australia.
 
1 page


There has been a recent growing international awareness of the climate effects of major pollution clouds (e.g. 2008 UN report on Asian "Atmospheric Brown Clouds").

However there has been little or no scientific investigation regarding the direct observational link between the increasing warming of the seas north of New Guinea and the decline in rainfall in south-eastern Australia.

Kevin sums up the situation:

"As long as there is more pollution being produced in the Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere, then south-eastern Australia’s rainfall will continue to be drawn northward."
Chinese Effect and IOD graphic

 
"THE CHINESE EFFECT"
LINKS

Maps and images illustrating the Chinese Effect


Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies - Current Shows current state of  "Chinese Effect" and "El Nino"
Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies - 1996 to April 2010 Shows progressive development of "Chinese Effect" since 2004 and various "El Nino" cycles

 (Go to "SST Anomaly Maps" 1996 to present)
Pacific Ocean Sub Surface 400m  Temperature Anomalies - 1970 to present Shows absence of "Chinese Effect" 1970-2004 
(Go to bottom of index page --> "Monthly 400m depth-averaged temperature anomalies, 12 months per page"


Research Sources quoted in  "The Chinese Effect - Part 2"

Ummenhofer et al 2009
“What causes southeast Australia’s worst droughts?”
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36
 Australian academic research paper which was widely reported in the Australian media in early 2009. It discusses the role of the Indian Ocean Dipole as a driver of rainfall in south-eastern Australia, and its weakened effect since 1992.
United Nations Environment Program 2008
“Atmospheric Brown Clouds: Regional Assessment Report with Focus on Asia”
United Nations report on Asian aerosol pollution and its effects on health, agriculture, climate and economy.



More information and links will be added to this page over time.


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Kevin Long
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"The Chinese Effect".

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