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CURRENT
FORECASTS
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AUTUMN
2024
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1
p. |
1 Mar
2024 |
Quarterly
seasonal long-range forecast for Central Victoria. Includes rainfall,
reservoir inflows, irrigation allocation, sea-surface temperature
analysis, Chinese Effect and other global climate drivers. |
131 KB |
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Weather Forecast for the
New Climate
Cycle 2010
to
2028: THE END OF THE
HOT WET CLIMATE |
1
p. |
12
July 2010 |
Weather
predictions for 2010 to 2028, taking into consideration the major
influences of lunar and sunspot cycles. A cold, dry climate cycle is
most likely under way from 2010. |
78
KB |
Previous forecasts
at
bottom
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| OTHER
DOCUMENTS |
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Submission to the Victorian Flood Inquiry
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7p. |
5 June 2023 |
In response
to disastrous floods on the Campaspe River that destroyed Rochester in
2011 and Sep 2022, it is essential to redesign the two spillways at
Lake Eppalock with gates ... and to re-write the rules for reservoirs
so that in wet times, 10% air space is maintained in storages to cope with flood
surges from large rain events.
The
document has many explanatory graphics to bring the layman up to speed
with this proposal that may eliminate future catastrophic floods out of
Lake Eppalock.
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| Rapid Global Cooling Forecast for
2017 |
2p. |
30
Jan 2014 |
Global
temperatures will rise briefly until 2017 when a rapid cooling will set
in, due to the combined influences of the 18.6 year lunar cycle and the
Bicentennial Solar Minimum sunspot cycle. |
334
KB |
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| Mega-Drought
Developing |
2
p. |
5
April 2013 |
Australia
is
sliding into a mega-drought period that may span decades. This is part
of a cycle of sun-spot activity and global climate similar to the dry
period that was just ending when Captain Cook arrived in Australia.
Evidence of tree stumps in northern Victorian swamps shows we have had
mega-droughts in recent history. |
464
KB |
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| The
Lunar Air Tide Cycle Explained |
1
p. |
29
Oct 2012 |
In
each lunar
cycle of 355 days, there are distinct "air tide phases" which can
greatly affect the rainfall levels across Australia's Murray Darling
Basin. Kevin explains these air tide phases and the scheduled peaks for
the coming years. |
304
KB |
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| The Basin Plan ignores the reducing
Murray flood levels |
6
p. |
12
Apr 2012 |
Kevin
Long's
submission to the 2012 Draft Murray Darling Basin Plan highlights the
massive decline in peak flood levels of the Murray river since 1958.
This trend has been ignored in the Plan. Kevin outlines the impact on
irrigation systems we can expect in coming years. |
630
KB |
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| NASA's
latest prediction supports Global Cooling |
6p. |
29 Feb 2012 |
Analysis
of NASA's new
predictions that point to a likely global cooling period and possible
Mini Ice Age. |
2MB |
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| The
Triple Crown of Global Cooling |
2p. |
30
Aug
2011 |
Summary
of
cooling trends expected to shape the next 30 years - including PDO
ocean current, low sunspot activity and increased volcanic activity. |
466
KB |
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The
IPCC climate
predictions have failed
for three basic reasons
|
5 p. |
20
June
2011 |
(Updated version of
document)
A
summary of
major flaws in the United Nations IPCC's modelling and understanding of
climate change drivers; including sunspot activity, solar radiation and
atmospheric feedbacks.
|
924
KB |
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| Cosmic Cycles cause flood and drought
in eastern
Australia |
4
p. |
23
Feb 2011 |
Unprecedented
floods in 2010-11 can be explained by the fact that two major cosmic
cycles have come into synch - the 18.6 Year Lunar Cycle and the 19.85
Year Jupiter-Saturn Cycle. |
797
KB |
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October
rainfall decline spells disaster for
water supplies
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1
p. |
3
Nov 2009 |
The
long-term decline of critical October rains is having drastic impacts
on agriculture and reservoir inflows. |
62
KB |
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| Reducing
Australia's carbon pollution will accelerate global climate change |
2
p. |
26
Sep 2009 |
Discussion paper highlighting that Northern Hemisphere pollution is the
main driver of climate change; the importance of addressing pollution
balance between the hemispheres; and that reducing Australia's carbon
pollution will actually accelerate
global climate change.
|
68
KB |
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DISCUSSION
PAPER:
The Channel Lining and Pipeline
Deception in
Victoria's Northern Foodbowl Project
(Version 1.0) |
14
p |
7 Aug
2009 |
Discussion
paper detailing that the Victorian Government's "Foodbowl Modernisation
Project" and "North-South Pipeline" are effectively insolvent.
Major
issues are highlighted in the $270m Channel Lining component regarding
claims of alleged water yield, enormous capital costs and environmental
safety concerns. A Royal Commission into the projects is recommended
and outlined. Includes detailed Appendix of data tables and volume
calculations. Co-authored by Kevin Long and Chris
Poynton.
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706
KB |
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The
Chinese Effect - Part 2:
Its impacts on the Indian Ocean Dipole |
2
p |
13
April 2009 |
Includes
updated theory,
supporting scientific
studies on the weakening rain effects of the IOD the recent UN
identification of effects of "Atmospheric Brown Clouds" and the
possible slowing of the "Great Oean Conveyor Belt" current.
See
special section on:
The
Chinese Effect |
162
KB |
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| Bendigo's Decadal Rainfall Averages |
1 p. |
7
Dec 2008 |
Overview
of historical "Wet" and "Dry" sequences, showing a clear drying trend
in the last 36 years |
86
KB |
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| Submission
to Victorian Government re"Draft Northern Region Sustainable Water
Strategy" |
2
p. |
30
Nov 2008 |
Comments
include: government's failure to identify worst-case water scenarios;
recommendations for changes to Bulk Water Entitlement (conservation
policy, carryover and scheduled reviews) |
78
KB |
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| Libs-Nats
must push for new "Bulk Water" allocation system for Murray-Darling
Basin if irrigated agriculture is to have a future |
1
p. |
23
Sep 2008 |
Letter
to Vic Liberal leader advising that the Bulk Water Entitlement should
have been reviewed three years ago. |
74
KB |
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| The
Water Allocation Rules have broken down !! |
1
p. |
15
Sep 2008 |
Summary
of recent failure of individual Victorian irrigation systems. |
75
KB |
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| Why
has Lake Eppalock not filled? |
1
p. |
28
Aug 2008 |
Summary
of declining historical averages, declining rainfall and declining
run-off figures for Lake Eppalock. |
91
KB |
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| The
CSIRO Report released on 13 May regarding "Water Availability
in the Campaspe" is MISLEADING |
2
p. |
25
May 2008 |
Inaccuracies
in CSIRO's
report to government . Water resources are much smaller than reported. |
87
KB |
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| The
Chinese Effect |
1
p. |
20
Dec 2006 |
Eastern
Australia is losing
rainfall due to the pollution cloud north of New Guinea.
See
special section on:
The
Chinese Effect |
95
KB |
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| Bendigo
Stormwater Resource |
1
p. |
12
Sep 2006 |
Outline
of project to capture
stormwater. Includes new reservoir and compensation to rural irrigators. |
202
KB |
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| Changing
Climate Cycles in Central Victoria and Failing Irrigation Systems |
2
p. |
1
Jan 2008 |
Proposed
benchmarks for reform
of Victoria's rural water allocation system |
150
KB |
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A
Failed Lake Eppalock:
A Dire Indicator for the Murray-Darling Basin
|
17
p. |
1
Dec 2006 |
Formal
research paper.
Co-Authors Dr John Russell
and Kevin Long.
Foretells the end of irrigation as we know it in the Murray Darling
Basin. Detailed history of changes to the Eppalock catchment and
long-term climate cycles. |
2.2
MB |
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| PREVIOUS QUARTERLY
FORECASTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
p.
|
various
|
Quarterly
seasonal long-range forecast for Central Victoria. Includes rainfall,
reservoir inflows, irrigation allocation, sea-surface temperature
analysis, Chinese Effect and other global climate drivers. |
max
84 KB |
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